Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and
accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot …

Consider the financial sustainability of public finances in the context of stochastic
demographics. Such analyses have typically been made under the assumption that future …

Demography as a subject is by definition statistical. However, the applications of statistics
have seen a paradigm shift in the recent past partly because of the availability of more …

This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting,
covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to …

Much of statistical forecasting is done for large organizations, such as the federal government,
state governments, or other large entities (eg, corporations or nonprofit organizations). …

The Norwegian parliament (‘Stortinget’) has decided to buy 52 new JSF jet fighters type F35.
When the decision was taken, the price for one F35 was unknown because the plane was …

Branching processes form a classical area of applied probability with origins in the work of
Galton and Watson (1875) on the extinction of families. Since then the topic has undergone …

The word forecast means expected outcome in the future, also known as projection. Literacy
is considered as an heart of human development. Because literacy plays a vital role in …

Statistical prediction theory accepts, as a starting point, that error cannot be avoided. The best
forecast is the one that minimizes error according to the chosen criterion. This is in contrast …

Dealing with uncertainty has been a critical issue in demographic and population forecasting
since 1980. This study reviews methodological developments in demographic and …