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Devin nunes’s family farm is hiding a politically explosive secret

Well, if you don't, you just don't. I agree to differ with you on that.


You seem insouciant to the fact that were he to win the competition, all he'd have got was, as you put it, bragging rights. His gambit to put literally his and others' "all" on winning was his choice. Nobody made him do that.

Remember, you introduced the notion of his "all" being on the line, a notion that didn't exist in my presentation of the competition, and you offered no alterations to the rest of the scenario.
  • It was still a competition, the rules of which had to be known in advance to all competitors, and, presumably, by some conjuration of yours, there is some provision that allows one to voluntarily wager something on the chance of their winning the competition.
  • You didn't indicate I wagered anything; thus as before your revision of the parameters, I still stood to gain bragging rights or lose a bit of personal pride.
  • You didn't indicate the prize for winning entails anything other than bragging rights; thus that, along with his and others keeping the "all" they wagered, is all he could have won.
So what you did is set up a scenario that position him to win nothing more than anyone who risked nothing other than their pride, yet my friend could and did risk far more than that. And you assumed my friend would enter the competition taking such a risk. I assure you, no friend of mine would be so stupid as to even enter a competition having the terms of the one you've proposed. That said, friend or foe, if one against me entered such a competition as you proposed and lost to me, I would take from them that which they wagered. Poor choices/risk freely made/taken have consequences.

I don't know why you decided to beat the dead horse of your original example, and ignore the clear point of that post. Your original analogy failed in my view, but I do not care to discuss it in lieu of the, you know, ACTUAL TOPIC. For the record, this was my actual point:

So the law is the law, and if the enforcing of it is arbitrary, and catastrophic for those randomly snagged, so be it because it's the law? I think that's a fair summary. Don't the merits of the law enter into this equation somewhere? If there are DISadvantages to enforcing it - as you suggest - then how can one be indifferent to the incredible human suffering, with no upside, of doing so rarely and arbitrarily?

And of course a law randomly and arbitrarily enforced, and also widely ignored, is an effective tool of tyranny, corruption, and oppression of all sorts. Cross the local mayor, back the wrong guy for sheriff, get crossways with the President or a powerful member of Congress, and a call to ICE can bankrupt you and send you to jail. If the law isn't evenly enforced against your competitors and neighbors, it's a DESCRIPTION of a corrupt system at least if not outright tyranny - a government of men, not laws.
 
Well, they'll have to "happen upon" them according to you. Raiding all the farms in the area is not to "happen upon" illegals or their employers. Now you see how indefensible the position of yours is, so you're changing it. OK.
  • Yes --> Happen upon the information indicating there may be unlawful activity afoot.
    • E.g., Someone calls in a tip saying "such and such" has been going on. In this case, the tip might say, "Most dairy farmers in Sibley County, IA use illegal immigrant labor."
      • That's a serendipitously obtained piece of information. LEO didn't on their own go out asking any old "Tom, Dick and Harry," "Hey, what do you know about illegal immigrant laborers in Sibley County?"
  • No --> Happen upon the actus reus.
    • Once they have received a tip, LEO have a duty to investigate its veracity and take the appropriate action based on what their investigation reveals.

OK, we just don't agree at all. You've apparently no concern for the human beings involved, and I do.
In the scenario of these IA dairy farmers and their use of illegal immigrant labor, of no concern to me are the human consequences of the cops arresting/fining parties to the illegal activity. If that -- not more, not less and not something different -- is what you think I don't care about, you're correct.

I am thus indifferent toward the noted human consequences because since I was about a sophomore or junior in high school, I, my siblings, my cousins, and nearly early other person with whom I grew up, have been held accountable for every choice we made. Most were prudent decisions; some were not. The prudent ones yielded net benefits to me. The imprudent ones resulted in consequences I didn't like but that I had to accept and deal with for however long those consequences endured. The imprudent choices I made were the result of poor judgment on my part.

I'll give you an example.
Rather than forcing all my kids to attend the same school, I agreed to let them go to the schools they wanted to so long as they were admitted. Even as I have no qualms with the quality of education they all received, I missed out on the opportunity to spend more time with them and they missed out on some measure of parental guidance that I would have given them had I been more able to see them all more often rather than having to divide my time between two at this school and another one at that school. What is the value of those missed opportunities and interactions? I don't know. I just know that I just know that I had to tell one or more of my kids I couldn't do X with them because I had to do Y with their sibling, and I know that more participation in one's kids' lives is better than less.

The decision to send my kids to school in New England even though a perfectly good one was in D.C. and the decision to let my kids attend different schools in New England seemed like good decisions at the time, but hindsight has shown me they were not. I and my children had to endure the consequences of those choices. Did those decisions have upsides too? Yes, and my kids and I these days focus on the positives and have done what we can to "get over" the negatives, because we haven't any choice but to do that. Nobody bailed us out. Nobody made excuses for us and we didn't make them for ourselves. We faced our fate and dealt with it.

That's what freedom is all about. With great freedom comes great responsibility/accountability, and part of what that means is one must own one's ****, the good **** and the bad ****.​

It's no different with those dairy farmers who chose to hire illegals. And it's no different with those illegals who opted to become illegal immigrants.

For me, the matter of the farmers, thus the illegals they hired, is quite simple: the farmers made the decision to hire the illegals and the illegals allowed that to happen, thereby tying their fates to that of the farmers. (My kids, like all kids, didn't have that choice. Whatever good/bad came of my decisions, they unto were subjected.) Regardless of the consequences, those adults, just like me, and their kids, just like mine, must bear the burden associated with the decisions those adults made.
 
  • Yes --> Happen upon the information indicating there may be unlawful activity afoot.
    • E.g., Someone calls in a tip saying "such and such" has been going on. In this case, the tip might say, "Most dairy farmers in Sibley County, IA use illegal immigrant labor."
      • That's a serendipitously obtained piece of information. LEO didn't on their own go out asking any old "Tom, Dick and Harry," "Hey, what do you know about illegal immigrant laborers in Sibley County?"
  • No --> Happen upon the actus reus.
    • Once they have received a tip, LEO have a duty to investigate its veracity and take the appropriate action based on what their investigation reveals.

Why limit their acceptable LEO activities to tips? Here's a tip - every dairy in the country is likely using illegal immigrants. I know for a fact they do in Tennessee. Same story in Iowa, so why would any other region be different? So raid them all. That's a tip. It also has the benefit of being a coherent enforcement strategy, and ensures that farms in one little town NOT the subject of a major article in a NY magazine are competing on the same playing field as those who ARE.

Same with the slaughter houses, chicken houses, pork factories.

Point is that if we want to enforce the laws against illegals and hiring them, enforce it, or don't. This nonsense about enforcement being arbitrary and tip based is to describe an unfair and corrupt system. You say the LEOs have an "obligation" to act on tips, neutrally and without bias, without favor, but you have to be deliberately naive to believe that's how the world ACTUALLY works.

In the scenario of these IA dairy farmers and their use of illegal immigrant labor, of no concern to me are the human consequences of the cops arresting/fining parties to the illegal activity. If that -- not more, not less and not something different -- is what you think I don't care about, you're correct.

Yeah, I got it, you'll happily enjoy lower produce, milk, food, meat product, hotel, landscaping, building, maintenance, painting etc. prices and if occasionally randomly and arbitrarily enforced laws against illegals ruin a few lives, what the hell - what business is it of yours because you got YOUR benefits, and enjoy them everyday so long as the laws aren't ACTUALLY enforced in a way that affects YOU. I understand completely - you get yours and **** the workers.

I am thus indifferent toward the noted human consequences....

Right, and if the choice for illegals wasn't which COLLEGE to go to, but whether or not their family had enough food, and so sent a few family members to the U.S. to make enough money for themselves, and to send large amounts of it back home to mom, dad, etc. then to hell with them, because we all have choices to make.

because since I was about a sophomore or junior in high school, I, my siblings, my cousins, and nearly early other person with whom I grew up, have been held accountable for every choice we made....

It's no different with those dairy farmers who chose to hire illegals. And it's no different with those illegals who opted to become illegal immigrants.

Well, it's slightly different, because the choice of dairy farmers is hire illegals or lose the farm, go out of business, and for the illegals it's have that job or live in desperate poverty in central America, VERSUS....which college.

And in the meantime, you get cheaper food, etc.! Win for everyone except for the immigrant families, and they aren't your concern.

Here's the part that makes your preferred policy so morally repugnant to me. When we don't evenly enforce immigration law, we simply HAVE entire industries like the milk industry and much of our agriculture and food production industries that cannot survive on the going prices without hiring illegals. So when you approve of arbitrarily/randomly and rarely enforcing immigration law, you create a system in which the options we give these farmers is, 1) break the law, or 2) go out of business.

I don't agree, at all, with the MAGA! types who want to deport 11 million illegals without regard to the human consequences, but at least THAT position is morally defensible. Enforce the law against every illegal, period, and we'll deal with the higher prices, economic losses, etc. But you don't agree - you recognize the economic cost, including to your own budget, of doing it, so prefer we don't really enforce the law, because YOU benefit from illegals every time you buy food, or rent a hotel room, or get some roofing done or other household repairs, or yard work, etc. But you're OK with the price of those benefits being a few ruined lives. Oh well, that's the cost of YOUR economic benefits...
 
Why limit their acceptable LEO activities to tips? Here's a tip - every dairy in the country is likely using illegal immigrants. I know for a fact they do in Tennessee. Same story in Iowa, so why would any other region be different? So raid them all. That's a tip. It also has the benefit of being a coherent enforcement strategy, and ensures that farms in one little town NOT the subject of a major article in a NY magazine are competing on the same playing field as those who ARE.

Same with the slaughter houses, chicken houses, pork factories.

Point is that if we want to enforce the laws against illegals and hiring them, enforce it, or don't. This nonsense about enforcement being arbitrary and tip based is to describe an unfair and corrupt system. You say the LEOs have an "obligation" to act on tips, neutrally and without bias, without favor, but you have to be deliberately naive to believe that's how the world ACTUALLY works.

Red:
I agree. This whole time I've been saying by all mean, go enforce the law. LEO has a tip; LEO should vette it and arrest/fine folks whom they find.

Dairy, abattoirs, veggie framing, etc. Enforce it with regard to all of them.
 
Here's the part that makes your preferred policy so morally repugnant to me. When we don't evenly enforce immigration law, we simply HAVE entire industries like the milk industry and much of our agriculture and food production industries that cannot survive on the going prices without hiring illegals. So when you approve of arbitrarily/randomly and rarely enforcing immigration law, you create a system in which the options we give these farmers is, 1) break the law, or 2) go out of business.

I don't agree, at all, with the MAGA! types who want to deport 11 million illegals without regard to the human consequences, but at least THAT position is morally defensible. Enforce the law against every illegal, period, and we'll deal with the higher prices, economic losses, etc. But you don't agree - you recognize the economic cost, including to your own budget, of doing it, so prefer we don't really enforce the law, because YOU benefit from illegals every time you buy food, or rent a hotel room, or get some roofing done or other household repairs, or yard work, etc. But you're OK with the price of those benefits being a few ruined lives. Oh well, that's the cost of YOUR economic benefits...

Red:
I'm more than happy to see immigration laws evenly enforced.


Blue:
No. Just plain old no, no so. I have three words for you: inelastically demanded goods.
Food items are inelastically demanded. If food producers had to pay the wages of more costly workers, the price of food would increase, however, consumers would pay the higher price and buy fewer elastically demanded goods. The aggregate demand for lower cost food items will increase and the aggregate demand of higher priced food items will decrease.


Pink:
That is some BS you have imputed to my remarks.

From an economics/consumption standpoint, I don't give a wet rat's ass who performs the labor -- legal or illegal workers. Which of them performs the labor isn't going to alter a damn thing about my consumptive behavior.
 
Red:
I agree. This whole time I've been saying by all mean, go enforce the law. LEO has a tip; LEO should vette it and arrest/fine folks whom they find.

Dairy, abattoirs, veggie framing, etc. Enforce it with regard to all of them.

OK, you just moved the goal posts off the original playing field and to a different field three states over. What happened to your earlier stance that you don't want to put resources on the job, only prosecute those who the LEOs "happen upon"? :roll:
 
Red:
I'm more than happy to see immigration laws evenly enforced.


Blue:
No. Just plain old no, no so. I have three words for you: inelastically demanded goods.
Food items are inelastically demanded. If food producers had to pay the wages of more costly workers, the price of food would increase, however, consumers would pay the higher price and buy fewer elastically demanded goods. The aggregate demand for lower cost food items will increase and the aggregate demand of higher priced food items will decrease.

Pink:
That is some BS you have imputed to my remarks.

From an economics/consumption standpoint, I don't give a wet rat's ass who performs the labor -- legal or illegal workers. Which of them performs the labor isn't going to alter a damn thing about my consumptive behavior.

Yes, I know basic economics - majored in econ in undergrad.

But your entire argument has now changed, and therefore the implications of your argument have changed with it. If your new position is that we should hire enough ICE agents to evenly enforce the law against pretty much the entire agriculture and food production industry, fine. But that's OPPOSITE of what you advanced as your position for the previous 10 posts - "happen upon" simply cannot mean - "immigration laws evenly enforced"

Remember, my entire objection was to the arbitrary and random nature of the enforcement regime you supported. Said words like that a dozen times to make my points. It's not nice to change your position then pretend you've been asserting this new one the entire time. Makes for unproductive and dishonest debates.

You can have the last word if you want but I'm done.

Edit to provide an example from our early discussion:

Here's your initial comment on this part of our discussion:

It's true I oppose government undertaking to hunt for illegals, but I have no problem with the government deporting illegals whom they happen upon. Why? Because as Borjas' analysis has shown that illegal immigrants yield a net gain, not a net loss, to the economy. There's no economically sound argument for focusing economic resources toward ending a so-called problem, the existence of which increases one's economic fortunes. If in the course of spending whatever one must necessarily spend, one finds illegal immigrants, yes, deport them and fine/indict their employers.


To which I responded:

I find that position pretty gutless because it blesses the arbitrary or selective enforcement of our laws. If the difference between a bankrupt farm, and a jail term versus no penalty at all, is whether or not you or one of your employees somehow accidentally comes into contact with (happen upon) an LEO, who then decides to investigate then enforce a law, then we're not really operating at all under a uniform system of laws at all. It's a form of tyranny.

What does it take for ICE not to "happen upon" Nunes' farm in Iowa? One thing that helps a bunch is being a powerful member of Congress and a big supporter of the President. In the local setting, the cops may know that a country club hosts a weekly cocaine fueled high stakes poker night but never 'happen upon' that game in progress, while targeting (deliberately 'happening upon) a craps game in a poor black neighborhood where the participants smoke pot, use drug sniffing dogs at the local HS Friday night football game, but leave the dogs at home for the local prep school attended by the sons and daughters of the elites. Etc.
 
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OK, you just moved the goal posts off the original playing field and to a different field three states over. What happened to your earlier stance that you don't want to put resources on the job, only prosecute those who the LEOs "happen upon"? :roll:

OMG!...Do you really just not understand the process that starts with a budget proposal and ends with a fine and/or prosecution/adverse administrative action?
 
But Hillary's emails, THAT was what was important to them. So they get what they get as far as I'm concerned and maybe, just maybe when they are raided and bankrupt they will have learned their lesson.

Nice.
 
Yes, I know basic economics - majored in econ in undergrad.
I don't believe you, unless the veracity of "majored in" as applied to your having done so means you "majored in economics and failed to obtain your degree in it."

I don't believe you for at least two reasons, one pertaining (re: an econ bachelor's degree program) to intermediate level economics concepts and applications and the other having to do with basic of economics concepts:
  • In post 7, I wrote:

    "There's no economically sound argument for focusing economic resources toward ending a so-called problem, the existence of which increases one's economic fortunes. If in the course of spending whatever one must necessarily spend, one finds illegal immigrants, yes, deport them and fine/indict their employers."

    To an econ major, that passage is a clarion-call allusion to the interplay of several key ideas of economics -- efficiency, opportunity cost, utility and maximizing it, externalities, profit maximization (farmers), and governmental social welfare maximization (the latter being something for which I've elsewhere entreated for discussion). An econ major would have recognized that and known immediately macro and micro orthodoxy -- something an econ major is already aware of, thus obviating my need to demonstrate it for him/her -- animate my policy and rules based stance regarding those ideas. (I wouldn't expect non-econ majors to recognize that.)

    Recognizing that, an econ major would have offered a rebuttal that at least narratively (though if you were of a mind to present equation and identify the nature of the relevant factors in the concomitant with my stance, that too would be fine with me) conceptually , that'd attempts to show that the policy, rules and enforcement evaluation method I've suggested is economically inefficient by dint of its overweighting one of the factors used in measuring/calculating the net cost/benefit of one or more of the noted ideas. Far and away, the strongest rebuttal of that sort would have been one based on social welfare maximization -- strong rebuttals from that angle also most nearly, albeit imperfectly, comport with the moral relativist line you've been using -- for such a line, if aptly developed, necessarily would address the utility (the polity, farmers and illegals' rationality, monotonicity, etc.) and externality implications implicit in the orthodox behavioral model I've advocated.

    But that's not what you did. Instead, you levied a normative rant about the inhumaneness of my position, as summarily adjudged by your vacuous declaration of its arbitrariness and implied capriciousness. To be sure, I acknowledged the unsentimental nature of my decision model, thus opening the door for exactly the sort of normative economics rebuttal an argument such as the social welfare one I above described enables and supports. You, however, chose to pursue a normative ethics (philosophy) counterargument. Furthermore, and most uncharacteristic of someone who'd obtained an econ degree, is your persistent claim about arbitrariness when the fact of the matter is that there is nothing arbitrary or capricious about qualitatively driven economic decision making implicit in the ideas of and apply the concepts of profit and social welfare maximization.

    You could also have pursued a normative economics tack based on opportunity cost, but you didn't go there either.
  • In post 28, completely disregarding yet another fundamental economics concept, price elasticity of demand, you wrote:

    "...entire industries like the milk industry and much of our agriculture and food production industries that cannot survive on the going prices without hiring illegals."

    No one who's mastered ECON101, macro or micro, would write that. There are a number of economic consequences an economist may have introduced in connection with imposing higher labor costs on industries characterized by inelastic demand curves, but survival of the industry involved isn't among them. Your remark shows complete unawareness of the ideas covered within the first two weeks or so of every collegiate principles of economics class one can take.
Because of the way you presented your ideas and responded to mine, neither way being concomitant with what the most junior of economists (those having an econ bachelor's degree) would do, I don't believe you majored in economics.
 
I don't believe you, unless the veracity of "majored in" as applied to your having done so means you "majored in economics and failed to obtain your degree in it."

LOL. Believe what you want. I received a BA in Econ from the University of Virginia (1985), and MAcc, concentration in tax, from the University of Tennessee - Knoxville (1987) (main campus).

I'll ignore the most of the rest because I don't care to engage with someone who opens a post by calling me a liar.

I will engage this point, because it demonstrates your dishonesty throughout this discussion:

You could also have pursued a normative economics tack based on opportunity cost, but you didn't go there either.
[*]In post 28, completely disregarding yet another fundamental economics concept, price elasticity of demand, you wrote:

"...entire industries like the milk industry and much of our agriculture and food production industries that cannot survive on the going prices without hiring illegals."

No one who's mastered ECON101, macro or micro, would write that. There are a number of economic consequences an economist may have introduced in connection with imposing higher labor costs on industries characterized by inelastic demand curves, but survival of the industry involved isn't among them. Your remark shows complete unawareness of the ideas covered within the first two weeks or so of every collegiate principles of economics class one can take.
[/LIST]
Because of the way you presented your ideas and responded to mine, neither way being concomitant with what the most junior of economists (those having an econ bachelor's degree) would do, I don't believe you majored in economics.

Let's take that quote. You snipped it, and dishonestly left out a key part of my argument. So here's the whole thing in context.

"When we don't evenly enforce immigration law, we simply HAVE entire industries like the milk industry and much of our agriculture and food production industries that cannot survive on the going prices without hiring illegals. So when you approve of arbitrarily/randomly and rarely enforcing immigration law, you create a system in which the options we give these farmers is, 1) break the law, or 2) go out of business."

Seems like my starting assumption is critical to the rest of my point, so why do you pretend my point wasn't predicated on that assumption? The point is simple enough - when employing illegals provides a company a competitive advantage, and when the rules against hiring illegals are not enforced, and when enforced, the penalties trivial, what do you think is the profit maximizing thing to do for a given company? Right, hire illegals, drive down their costs, drive up their profits. You tell us what Econ 101 predicts will then happen with other firms in that industry? They'll continue to operate legally, and cede market share to other firms willing to hire illegals, something our government hasn't cared about in decades, and that is rarely enforced?

No, they'll hire the cheapest possible labor (illegals, who often happen to be generally reliable, or recent legal immigrants), because they know enforcement is arbitrary, random and incredibly rare, which drives down costs across the industry, and eventually drives down prices, and the new industry level prices have baked into them the hiring of recent immigrants, illegal or legal. That's a fair description of much of our food production industry - how it IS.

So, you're now a person who wants to compete in the dairy industry. Unless you have some magic pixie dust to feed your cows to produce more milk per unit of input, you have to compete with firms that DO use illegal immigrants as a significant share of their labor force. How do you do that if your labor costs are $5 an hour (25-30%) higher than the farm down the road?

You're the economic genius here so you tell us.

Furthermore, in other comments I explicitly recognized that ending illegal labor in this country would cause prices to increase, which is obviously true. What I did not do is predict that the milk or berry or hotel or yard maintenance or hotel or construction industries would collapse.

And, again, it's really not nice to open and close a post by calling me a liar. If you're willing to put something at risk on your claim, let me know. I'll accept your wager sight unseen. My diplomas don't have the major listed, but just for you I'll request one from UVa.
 
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I don't believe you, unless the veracity of "majored in" as applied to your having done so means you "majored in economics and failed to obtain your degree in it."

For the record, why did you take my opening statement, call me a liar, then ignore all the rest of my point showing that you moved the goal posts on me. I guess you conceded that point?

Again, that's not nice. I don't care if people change their minds, but pretending to hold a position you argued against earlier in the discussion just isn't.... honest.
 
LOL. Believe what you want. I received a BA in Econ from the University of Virginia (1985)...

...

Let's take that quote. You snipped it, and dishonestly left out a key part of my argument. So here's the whole thing in context.

"When we don't evenly enforce immigration law, we simply HAVE entire industries like the milk industry and much of our agriculture and food production industries that cannot survive on the going prices without hiring illegals. So when you approve of arbitrarily/randomly and rarely enforcing immigration law, you create a system in which the options we give these farmers is, 1) break the law, or 2) go out of business."

Seems like my starting assumption is critical to the rest of my point, so why do you pretend my point wasn't predicated on that assumption? The point is simple enough - when employing illegals provides a company a competitive advantage, and when the rules against hiring illegals are not enforced, and when enforced, the penalties trivial....They'll continue to operate legally, and cede market share to other firms willing to hire illegals, something our government hasn't cared about in decades, and that is rarely enforced?

Red:
Milk is inelastically demanded at wholesale and mostly so at retail; thus the qualification in your sentence is irrelevant because enforcement of immigration law isn't among the determinants of the price elasticity of demand for goods, and your statement fully disregards that.




The cow's milk segment of the dairy industry (which is what we're talking about -- the context under discussion here is not monopolistic competition) won't disappear due to law enforcement in IA, where Nunes' farm is, or anywhere else. It won't because cow's milk is inelastically demanded.

inelastic-demand-1.jpg

Because cow's milk is inelastically demanded, were immigration laws enforced we'd see:

  1. An increase in the cost of producing milk, thus increasing its price.
  2. At the higher price, less milk will be demanded.
  3. The price increase will cause some milk producers to exit the industry for legal, regulatory, and/or business reasons.
  4. The higher prices will, in the long-run, attract entrants to the industry.
  5. The higher prices will create a short-run boost in total revenue (and presumably profits) for farm owners who remain in the industry. Total revenue will gradually decline as new competitors, attracted by the availability of profits, enter the industry.


That's the ECON101 of the matter.

Blue:
Competitive advantage and its determinants are business marketing and management matters, not economics. (Comparative advantage is economics concept having nothing to do with what we're discussing.) Does the legal and regulatory environment affect competitive advantage? Of course, it does. Variances in the laws and enforcement of them is precisely why firms in the U.S. have the convoluted business structures -- holding companies, parents, subsidiaries, etc. -- they do.

To wit, the unevenness of federal pot law enforcement is why several states have pot producers and sellers. By federal law, all of them can be charged and sentenced for felonies. Prosecuting them is no different than prosecuting illegal immigrant employers and the illegal immigrants themselves. Start with the biggest ones and work one's way down to the smaller ones.


Pink:
My point all along has been that the law needs to be enforced. I've been clear about that. I stated that an economic model be used to sequence the enforcement.
"There's no economically sound argument for focusing economic resources toward ending a so-called problem, the existence of which increases one's economic fortunes. If in the course of spending whatever one must necessarily spend, one finds illegal immigrants, yes, deport them and fine/indict their employers."​
What's that imply? LEO simply starts charging/fining the largest producers about which they are aware and works their way down, or start in the middle and work their way up and down, or start at the bottom and work up. There's nothing arbitrary about it. LEO can't nab them all at once; someone's going to be first.
 
https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a23471864/devin-nunes-family-farm-iowa-california/

Pretty long investigative piece about the Nunes family's dairy farm. The secrets are really two:

1) The California family farm was moved to Iowa, in Rep. Steve King's district, years ago. For some reason, Nunes wants that kept secret and has gone to considerable lengths to keep it so. The reporter was trailed for days by members of Nunes' family, wouldn't talk to him, threatened to have him arrested. After the reporter left, the Nunes family had the local dairy magazine pull from the internet a 2009 article that talked about the Nunes farm, and that presumably was the tip this reporter was following up on.

2) The little town is mainly dairy farmers, and the vast majority (perhaps 90% or more) of the labor is illegal immigrants. AND the county went roughly 80-20 Trump. Rep. Steve "Calves the size of cantaloupes" King won the district by a similar margin.



I'm a bit torn on this. My first reaction is to hell with these Trump supporters, I hope they get raided, shut down and bankrupted, because they're only getting the consequences of policies the guys (King and Trump) they supported promised and are a big part of their appeal. If these morons support politicians that will happily destroy their livelihoods, then let it happen, f*** them, and maybe they'll support politicians who won't or demand the Republicans they do support change their policy preferences. In the meantime, we have the equivalent of "sanctuary cities" right there in Rep. King's district and no one seems to notice or care because they're salt of the earth white farmers.

But I don't have anything against these families. I know they work hard - dairy farming is tough, long hours, relentless, no vacations, and if they're shut down that means the immigrant families are arrested and sent home. Seems unfair to wish harm on all those people who are all just trying to get by in a tough business. If these families didn't overwhelmingly support Trump and the GOP, I'd say let them alone. But it's hard when Nunes own family is in this district and were active in his campaigns.

More than anything, it's just frustrating that this little community OVERWHELMINGLY voted for people who would ruin them, bankrupt them, if the people they put in office ever get around to enforcing the policies they PROMISED in this little town.

Well, we do know that the Diane Feinstein family farm hid a politically explosive secret until the last possible moment.
 
Red:
Milk is inelastically demanded at wholesale and mostly so at retail; thus the qualification in your sentence is irrelevant because enforcement of immigration law isn't among the determinants of the price elasticity of demand for goods, and your statement fully disregards that.

Sorry, but you opened and closed your last post calling me a liar, and don't even have the courtesy to address that point. And then you ignored almost all my point....

I think your analysis is crap, but I'd rather not argue with someone who assumes I'm arguing from a position of bad faith and dishonesty. :2wave:
 
Pink:
My point all along has been that the law needs to be enforced. I've been clear about that. I stated that an economic model be used to sequence the enforcement.
"There's no economically sound argument for focusing economic resources toward ending a so-called problem, the existence of which increases one's economic fortunes. If in the course of spending whatever one must necessarily spend, one finds illegal immigrants, yes, deport them and fine/indict their employers."​
What's that imply? LEO simply starts charging/fining the largest producers about which they are aware and works their way down, or start in the middle and work their way up and down, or start at the bottom and work up. There's nothing arbitrary about it. LEO can't nab them all at once; someone's going to be first.

I'll again point out that you're arguing something 180 degrees different than your initial position, and are dishonestly claiming you've held this position the entire time.

It's true I oppose government undertaking to hunt for illegals, but I have no problem with the government deporting illegals whom they happen upon.

By the same token, being an illegal and hiring an illegal is unlawful. So while I wouldn't allocate additional resources to hunting for illegals and their employers, if the Moirae bring to immigration enforcement's attention that scores of illegals are in fact working for scores of businesses in one industry in a given location, yes, I'd send immigration officers to the location to enforce the law.

You start out by saying "I oppose government undertaking a hunt for illegals" because "There's no economically sound argument for focusing economic resources toward ending a so-called problem, the existence of which increases one's economic fortunes." But that if LEO "happen upon them," or fate brings them in contact, well, then it's OK to enforce this law you oppose being enforced, IN THAT LOCATION, presumably only!

Now you're saying - well, of course we should enforce immigration law, across the entire dairy industry! But to do that is "focusing economic resources towards ending" a non problem, and which you oppose!

And the topper is of course after arguing in bad faith, you outright call me a liar...
 
Sorry, but you opened and closed your last post calling me a liar, and don't even have the courtesy to address that point. And then you ignored almost all my point....

I think your analysis is crap, but I'd rather not argue with someone who assumes I'm arguing from a position of bad faith and dishonesty. :2wave:

I have in two posts -- the posted remarks + the linked content -- now identified multiple basic economics concepts/principles your comments on (1) the impact of enforcing the law re: illegal immigrants and hiring them and (2) my initial remarks on the matter completely disregarded, despite your ostensibly having a BA in economics.

You can tell me you have any kind of degree you want -- truly, I don't care what kind of degree(s) you have; I care whether you (or anyone) understand and aptly apply the principles, and one needn't have a degree in economics to do that -- however, so long as you post ideas contrary to the fundamental principles of that disciple, ones such as those I've discussed, I'm not going to believe you have a degree in econ. Hell, I'm hard pressed to believe you took principles of economics (macro or micro), let alone majored in the discipline and thus took principles and intermediate macro and micro.

To wit, in your last post, you reiterated and attempted to defend your implication that the enforcement of the law is a determinant of price elasticity of demand for the commodity cow's milk, and quite simply, as I stated and showed by linking to an ECON101 lecture, it is not.

Furthermore, you introduced , in a topic segment about economics (specifically to refute the dubitability I expresed re: your having an econ degree), the notion of competitive advantage, which is a marketing and management concept, not an econ one, and contributes to why some firms thrive, thrive to greater or lesser extents, or don't thrive. Economics doesn't doesn't address which firms/industries thrive or fail to; it explains how (not why) firms/industries behave -- enter/exit the market, choose to maximize profit or maximize total revenue (sometimes doing the latter achieves the former, and sometimes it doesn't; in other instances, it's economically imprudent to do the former, other times the latter), increase/decrease quantities supplied, etc. -- in response to various market stimuli.

I'm thus not going to recant my declaration that I don't believe you have a BA in economics. So if, based on your having expressed your umbrage over my incredulity, you think I'm going offer anything other than additional illustrations of fundamental economics principles that you've utterly disregarded, don't hold your breath.

I didn't bid you to assert you have a BA in economics, but since you did, I hold you accountable for applying, at least the intermediate level, the principles of economics. That means, among other things, that should you desire a change in my belief, you must come up with some way to overcome the fact that cow's milk is inelastically demanded and thus buyers and sellers of it behave in accordance with economic principles applicable to inelastically demanded goods, particularly in light of cow's milk (or just about any other non-monopolistically-competitive good, aka a commodity) being literally a standard good that undergrads might evaluate in a simple elasticity research or simulation assignment.
You can start with resolving the implications of milk's inelasticity of demand with your assertion that the dairy industry would not "survive" were it disabused of illegal immigrants.
 
I have in two posts -- the posted remarks + the linked content -- now identified multiple basic economics concepts/principles your comments on (1) the impact of enforcing the law re: illegal immigrants and hiring them and (2) my initial remarks on the matter completely disregarded, despite your ostensibly having a BA in economics.

You can tell me you have any kind of degree you want -- truly, I don't care what kind of degree(s) you have; I care whether you (or anyone) understand and aptly apply the principles, and one needn't have a degree in economics to do that -- however, so long as you post ideas contrary to the fundamental principles of that disciple, ones such as those I've discussed, I'm not going to believe you have a degree in econ. Hell, I'm hard pressed to believe you took principles of economics (macro or micro), let alone majored in the discipline and thus took principles and intermediate macro and micro.

OK.

To wit, in your last post, you reiterated and attempted to defend your implication that the enforcement of the law is a determinant of price elasticity of demand for the commodity cow's milk, and quite simply, as I stated and showed by linking to an ECON101 lecture, it is not.

Furthermore, you introduced , in a topic segment about economics (specifically to refute the dubitability I expresed re: your having an econ degree), the notion of competitive advantage, which is a marketing and management concept, not an econ one, and contributes to why some firms thrive, thrive to greater or lesser extents, or don't thrive. Economics doesn't doesn't address which firms/industries thrive or fail to; it explains how (not why) firms/industries behave -- enter/exit the market, choose to maximize profit or maximize total revenue (sometimes doing the latter achieves the former, and sometimes it doesn't; in other instances, it's economically imprudent to do the former, other times the latter), increase/decrease quantities supplied, etc. -- in response to various market stimuli.

I'm thus not going to recant my declaration that I don't believe you have a BA in economics. So if, based on your having expressed your umbrage over my incredulity, you think I'm going offer anything other than additional illustrations of fundamental economics principles that you've utterly disregarded, don't hold your breath.

I didn't bid you to assert you have a BA in economics, but since you did, I hold you accountable for applying, at least the intermediate level, the principles of economics. That means, among other things, that should you desire a change in my belief, you must come up with some way to overcome the fact that cow's milk is inelastically demanded and thus buyers and sellers of it behave in accordance with economic principles applicable to inelastically demanded goods, particularly in light of cow's milk (or just about any other non-monopolistically-competitive good, aka a commodity) being literally a standard good that undergrads might evaluate in a simple elasticity research or simulation assignment.
You can start with resolving the implications of milk's inelasticity of demand with your assertion that the dairy industry would not "survive" were it disabused of illegal immigrants.[/QUOTE]
 
Part I of II

I'll again point out that you're arguing something 180 degrees different than your initial position, and are dishonestly claiming you've held this position the entire time.

You start out by saying "I oppose government undertaking a hunt for illegals" because "There's no economically sound argument for focusing economic resources toward ending a so-called problem, the existence of which increases one's economic fortunes." But that if LEO "happen upon them," or fate brings them in contact, well, then it's OK to enforce this law you oppose being enforced, IN THAT LOCATION, presumably only!

Now you're saying - well, of course we should enforce immigration law, across the entire dairy industry! But to do that is "focusing economic resources towards ending" a non problem, and which you oppose!

And the topper is of course after arguing in bad faith, you outright call me a liar...
You keep making inferences, inaccurate ones to boot, about what I think or am doing/saying and proceeding to attack me as though your inference is accurate. I don't know why you are doing that, but I know you are, and because I know that, I've mostly ignored your lines based on those assumptions. Folks who give a damn will just have to read my posts in order to know what I've had to say.


Blue:
Let's be very clear about something: you are the one who's been on about arbitrariness In post 13, I clarified what I meant by "enforcing a law serendipitously." I wrote, "The serendipity to which I refer is that of knowledge and awareness of specific criminal activity coming to LEO's attention, not serendipitous -- or more aptly, given the scenario you provided, capricious -- enforcement." I provided that clarification because I could see how my initial phrasing in post 11 misled you.

Frankly, the tone of your remarks suggests that what you are objecting to is capriciousness (or perhaps "arbitrary," rather than arbitrary) in LEO's selection of firms/individuals whom LEO investigate to determine whether they have committed culpable violations of immigration law. Despite my having bothered to clarify that no such process is what I had in mind, you've repeatedly been on your horse about "arbitrary this" and "arbitrary that." I've largely been ignoring your prattling about arbitrariness because I addressed it in post 13.


Tan:
"It's true I oppose government undertaking to hunt for illegals, but I have no problem with the government deporting illegals whom they happen upon. Why? Because as Borjas' analysis has shown that illegal immigrants yield a net gain, not a net loss, to the economy. There's no economically sound argument for focusing economic resources toward ending a so-called problem, the existence of which increases one's economic fortunes. If in the course of spending whatever one must necessarily spend, one finds illegal immigrants, yes, deport them and fine/indict their employers."
- Xelor​

I don't oppose enforcing the law. Persons who have an econ degree wouldn't infer from my statement that I do. To an econ major, that passage is a clarion-call allusion to the interplay of several key ideas of economics, among them efficiency. By inferring that I oppose enforcing immigration law, you've disregarded the fundamental concept of economic efficiency as applied to the deployment of government resources (purchase of immigration law enforcement services).

(continued due to character limit)
 
Part II of II

Tan (continued from post 44):
Additionally, the inference you drew from my above quoted remarks assumes I have no regard or will to apply cost-benefit analysis (determining total returns from a given action( or set there of) less total costs for same) -- which, of course, is key to determining economic efficiency, be it productive, Pareto, social, allocative, etc. -- in choosing an immigration law enforcement implementation plan. That despite my having been very clear that the only thing I care about are the economics of the matter.

How might an econ major assess the above from an economic efficiency standpoint? Several ways, but you chose none of them . Some of the ways include:
  • Strictly construe the matter in terms of enforcing the law so as to minimize the incremental impact on productive efficiency (aka, GDP-based efficiency) while still enforcing the law. This is very straightforward and, for an economist, requires little beyond a cogent implementation plan and a cogent argument showing the impact of LEO actions on the slope of the dairy industry's SRAC and MC curves.
  • Integrate the above notion of "GDP" efficiency with that of distributributive efficiency. Since the notion of distributive efficiency is included, one must deal cogently too with the LDR. This type of economic analysis considers the matter from the standpoint of gov't as the producer of law enforcement and thus evaluated "producing law enforcement" against the monetary impact on the dairy industry.
  • Extend the above two ideas to the notion of social efficiency. This is an obvious "next step" from the preceding "combo" analysis. The trouble with this approach is the externalities. In and of themselves, they're no trouble, but it's a lot of work to, with regard to enforcing immigration laws in a given economy (i.e., one or more industry segments and a geographic region), identify all the negative and positive ones and aggregate them to to determine whether the scenario under consideration faces net negative or net positive externalities. I wouldn't expect anyone to take that on in this venue, but perhaps one might find a published paper that does and reference it, extrapolating from its findings to the extent possible.
  • Take a stab at allocative efficiency. This approach is easy enough to understand, though one'd have to address allocative efficiency from several vantage points to be able to make coherent argument, regardless of which mode of allocative efficiency one opted to advance. This line could be pursued, but one'd need data from quite a few sources to pursue any line cogently.
There other economic efficiency models one could have chosen to argue from; however, the point I'm a making is that an economist would have chosen at least one of them, yet you chose none. You went down the normative ethics (philosophy) route.


Red:
  1. When fate brings LEO to Location A, LEO takes the appropriate enforcement action. When fate brings LEO to Location B, LEO takes the appropriate enforcement action. It makes no difference to me whether "location" be defined as specific farms, roads, areas, counties, or states. Is that objectionable to you?
  2. Frankly, I don't care whether the "location" to which fate brings LEO is a dairy farm, a construction site, a hotel, retail store, a whole county, a region, a state or several of them. If LEO gets a tip -- all the news about how prevalent be illegal immigrants in the dairy industry strikes me as fine tip -- they need to follow-up on it and act accordingly.


Pink:
I didn't call you a liar. I said I don't believe your attestation that you have a degree in economics. If I were able to prove you don't have a degree in economics, I would, then, call you a liar. Since I cannot prove that, I must stop short of calling you a liar and say instead that I don't believe you.

Does my saying I don't believe you indicate I think you're lying? Yes. That said, I'm not willing to "risk libel" and say, "JasperL, you're a liar." I'm not because I know the difference between:
  • A declaration about another person --> "'So and so' is a liar," and
  • A declaration about myself --> "I believe 'so and so' lied to me."
The former sometimes is libelous, but the latter never is.
 
I'm thus not going to recant my declaration that I don't believe you have a BA in economics.

This is funny actually. Read on!

You can start with resolving the implications of milk's inelasticity of demand with your assertion that the dairy industry would not "survive" were it disabused of illegal immigrants.

How about you quote me making that claim, because you made it up. Here's what I did say:

When we don't evenly enforce immigration law, we simply HAVE entire industries like the milk industry and much of our agriculture and food production industries that cannot survive on the going prices without hiring illegals. So when you approve of arbitrarily/randomly and rarely enforcing immigration law, you create a system in which the options we give these farmers is, 1) break the law, or 2) go out of business.

Again, the assumption here is uneven enforcement of immigration law, a regime in which it's random, arbitrary and RARE. How in the hell can a literate person read that and believe I'm talking about a regime in which there are no more illegals?

In the next paragraph I do in fact assume that we eliminate illegals. What do I predict? Lets read it and see!

I don't agree, at all, with the MAGA! types who want to deport 11 million illegals without regard to the human consequences, but at least THAT position is morally defensible. Enforce the law against every illegal, period, and we'll deal with the higher prices, economic losses, etc. But you don't agree - you recognize the economic cost, including to your own budget, of doing it, so prefer we don't really enforce the law, because YOU benefit from illegals every time you buy food, or rent a hotel room, or get some roofing done or other household repairs, or yard work, etc. But you're OK with the price of those benefits being a few ruined lives. Oh well, that's the cost of YOUR economic benefits...

Interesting. Assuming no more illegals, did I predict the industry would collapse as you allege? NO! What I in fact predicted was higher prices. And of course other economic losses. Seems simple enough, for someone literate. So what do you do? Post an article predicting higher prices (a near doubling!) and...economic losses! Seems...familiar. Oh yeah, what I predicted!

And then you essentially call me stupid, and a liar!!, many times!, for not understanding the economics.

So let's close this circle. I don't know how many times I objected to your views on in fact NOT enforcing the immigration laws (your original position as I've highlighted and you've ignored) with terms like arbitrary, random, rare, etc. but it was many. Impossible to miss!

And your article predicts that enforcing immigration law would double prices, and cause many dairy operations to close, costing lots of jobs, because of the difficulty in finding willing and able people to fill the jobs now going over half to immigrants, at least at anything like going rates. So massive disruption!

So, what happens when the immigration laws are RARELY, etc. enforced and only imposed on a small, random, arbitrary subsample of firms, those who LEOs "happened upon" or those brought into contact with LEOs by fate. What would be the effect?

Well, the article says this: "Most workers start at fourteen or fifteen dollars an hour, the first farmer said. If dairies had to use legal labor, they would likely have to raise that to eighteen or twenty dollars, and many dairies wouldn’t survive. "

So, if Nunes' farm is raided, because LEOs "happened upon" them (such as from the article), and and forced to hire only legal labor, their labor costs go up by 20-33%. What the local dairy farmers tell me is that's only part of the story. They find that the local good old boys don't like working 60 hour weeks 50-52 weeks a year, and quit, and the turnover is high, which is an additional cost (obviously). Illegals are, however, far more reliable! Your article essentially confirms this general story.

So my original comment - the choice of 1) hire illegals, or 2) go out of business - clearly applied on the micro level to a farm like Nunes' family, given uneven, rare, arbitrary enforcement of the law like YOU PREFER in which Nune is forced to operate under rules requiring legal labor, but NOT his competitors. How can he survive? I asked you to tell us, and you ignored me.

If you're unable to understand the point, the problem isn't my supposed lack of a degree, or a failure to grasp the basics, it's your inability to read the written word and comprehend simple sentences.
 
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I don't oppose enforcing the law. Persons who have an econ degree wouldn't infer from my statement that I do. To an econ major, that passage is a clarion-call allusion to the interplay of several key ideas of economics, among them efficiency. By inferring that I oppose enforcing immigration law, you've disregarded the fundamental concept of economic efficiency as applied to the deployment of government resources (purchase of immigration law enforcement services).

(continued due to character limit)

OK, forgetting your "happen upon" statement, and your reference to goddesses of fate, you said, quoting you, "There's no economically sound argument for focusing economic resources toward ending a so-called problem."

You'll have to explain to this dumbass without a rudimentary understanding of economics how in the hell you can enforce our immigration laws against dairy farmers across the entire industry without "focusing economic resources" at this problem. Your article points out about half the labor force is recent immigrants, and 79% of 58,000 firms hire immigrants, so it would require enforcing the laws against roughly 45,000 firms located across the country! I don't see how a few agents sitting around waiting for tips about firms hiring illegals gets it done, but that's what you recommended as economically optimal.
 
Red:
  1. When fate brings LEO to Location A, LEO takes the appropriate enforcement action. When fate brings LEO to Location B, LEO takes the appropriate enforcement action. It makes no difference to me whether "location" be defined as specific farms, roads, areas, counties, or states. Is that objectionable to you?
  2. Frankly, I don't care whether the "location" to which fate brings LEO is a dairy farm, a construction site, a hotel, retail store, a whole county, a region, a state or several of them. If LEO gets a tip -- all the news about how prevalent be illegal immigrants in the dairy industry strikes me as fine tip -- they need to follow-up on it and act accordingly.

What's kind of funny is I think you're serious.

First of all, if you're an ICE agent, or just a person who reads the newspapers or talks to anyone in farming, or reads about immigration really AT ALL, and don't know where the illegals are concentrated in the workforce, and need a NYC writer to tell you this, then you're too stupid to get out of bed in the morning and make it to the shower.

Second, that's irrelevant. We actually KNOW (and your article shows it) that immigration laws simply HAVE NOT BEEN enforced in the agriculture, dairy, etc. industries. They've not been enforced on the interior at all really until 2017. So we HAVE HAD a system where the enforcement is arbitrary, rare, etc. And, so, again, employing illegals is imbedded in the current cost structure across entire industries, because they are chock full of illegal labor.

Third, and I already covered it, "following up" on tips about where the illegals are employed in fact would require MASSIVE economic resources, which you don't want to commit. Dairy alone has 58,000 firms! Spread across the country! So you're on the one hand advocating not committing resources to hunt for illegals, and on the other claiming that using your preferred set of policies, we'd easily and without significant resources be able to rid entire industries of illegals - follow up on tips, such as "I got a call today and this caller says the dairy industry hires a bunch of illegals. Might want to look there!" It's nonsense, and I'm not really sure if you ACTUALLY believe it's coherent but you appear to...which is funny actually

I didn't call you a liar. I said I don't believe your attestation that you have a degree in economics. If I were able to prove you don't have a degree in economics, I would, then, call you a liar. Since I cannot prove that, I must stop short of calling you a liar and say instead that I don't believe you.

Does my saying I don't believe you indicate I think you're lying? Yes. That said, I'm not willing to "risk libel" and say, "JasperL, you're a liar." I'm not because I know the difference between:
  • A declaration about another person --> "'So and so' is a liar," and
  • A declaration about myself --> "I believe 'so and so' lied to me."
The former sometimes is libelous, but the latter never is.

Fact is although I told you the truth, schools, degrees, dates, and would be happy to prove it, try me! it's been fun pointing out your pomposity and intellectual dishonesty, so you've done me no harm. And that's funny **** right there - making some hair-splitting difference between saying I lied about my degree and education, versus calling me a liar... Good stuff. :2rofll:
 
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I don't oppose enforcing the law. Persons who have an econ degree wouldn't infer from my statement that I do. To an econ major, that passage is a clarion-call allusion to the interplay of several key ideas of economics, among them efficiency. By inferring that I oppose enforcing immigration law, you've disregarded the fundamental concept of economic efficiency as applied to the deployment of government resources (purchase of immigration law enforcement services).

I'll end the night with two more general comments. You're effectively demanding in various places that I make my argument as an economist, using economic language. I'm not an economist, don't practice in the field or write in it. I have a BA in economics, but I'm a tax accountant. So I express myself however I damn well want, and to do so in layman's terms doesn't imply in any way that I don't understand the economics behind it. Second, I've said early on that my views on immigration ARE informed by empathy, concern for the plight of others, and so I have explicitly rejected analysing this issue purely on economic terms. If you disagree, that's fine, but it's illegitimate for you to demand I argue from a position that I've told you I reject, and using the the language of economists.

Second, your bolded statement is horse crap. Similarly, if in NYC the mayor says he doesn't oppose, or favors, enforcing drug laws, and in a city of 10 million people hires 5 officers to get that job done, because he sees no need to direct economic resources at what he considers an economic BENEFIT to the city (your argument is that illegals are economically beneficial to make the analogy clear) what are we to infer, what results should we expect? Obviously that drug laws will be ignored, throughout the city, which is of course what the mayor intended. That is in short your position on immigration.

So explain to this economics dumbass how you can enforce the law without directing significant, consistent, dedicated resources. To say in theory you favor goal X, while withholding the necessary resources necessary to accomplish goal X, is to say in practice that you don't give a damn about goal X and the firm/government will fail to achieve goal X, as intended.

Alternatively, you've argued that achieving goal X is economically harmful, however you support goal X and favor directing the resources necessary to achieve goal X, and that your position is entirely informed by the economics of the issue. I can't square that circle, sorry.
 
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