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LGTAG’s response on Modelling and Appraisal Consultation

LGTAG’s response on Modelling and Appraisal Consultation

The Government consultation on this subject issued in June was responded to by LGTAG in writing and at a recent Landor Conference. Members of LGTAG were consulted during the response.

The main issues seen bus and expressed at the Landor Conference were:

  • We understand the 5 Webtag cases and also the need to satisfy the Treasury with the present funding arrangements
  • Webtag is very complex and opaque
  • There is enormous scope for inaccuracies
  • Except in largest authorities there is a  need to appoint expensive consultants
  • The highest benefit/cost interventions (eg bus lanes, parking enforcement etc) are not favoured over road schemes
  • For road schemes ‘economic benefits’ are of little real benefit to society (peak times and 30- 60 years in future)
  • There is little confidence that centre (Whitehall and Westminster) can understand or know what works best locally
  • The benefits are usually calculated as a small difference between two enormous sums of time spent on network – this is mathematically unsound
  • There are a multitude of sometimes spurious assumptions (e.g. speed flow curves with unlimited capacity, assumed speed on minor roads, no measures of extra traffic and congestion from generated traffic outside study area)
  • Modelled traffic assigned to roads is sometimes factors out
  • Behavioural value of time may be important for modelling but peak hour car travellers time of little ‘societal’ value
  • Then — how accurate are the COSTS of the intervention especially for large road and rail schemes?!

Our full submission is attached LGTAG-Response-to-DfT-Appraisal-and-Modelling-Strategy.pdf (704 downloads )

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John Elliott is presently Communications Officer for LGTAG and also serves as Vice Chair of the National Transport Committee. He also does some part time Consultancy as well as Lecturing at Universities. He has been a full member of ACTO/TAG for 30 years and has been on the Transport Committee for most of this time. He spent a large part of his career in Local Government rising to Director of Technical Services and Planning for a large district. He has had the dubious privilege of working for Shirley Porter’s Westminster and Ken Livingstone’s GLC. His chief technical expertise is in Transport Planning and Parking control. He is infamous for his work on identifying the scale and consequences of illegal parking in London in the late 70s (and went on to build a large parking enforcement contractor after the 1991 Act) and the extent and consequences of generated traffic from new roads since the mid 80s, which still seems to be being ignored or forgotten about by government’s central and often even local.

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