http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2009/12/17/box-office-preview-avatar/ Box office preview: 'Avatar' poised for incredible opening weekend 阿凡達將會開出高票房 by Nicole Sperling Categories: Box Office, Film, Movie Biz This is the weekend we’ve all been waiting for. Avatar finally hits theaters and the results are sure to be spectacular. Tracking indicates the James Cameron extravaganza is playing like a sequel, rather than as a brand new piece of filmmaking based on nothing other than what rolls around inside Cameron’s brain. With early reviews overwhelmingly positive, the film’s audience is likely to be much broader than initially expected. Going up against this massive endeavor is Sony Pictures’ Did You Hear About the Morgans starring Sarah Jessica Parker and Hugh Grant. The cynical “counter-programming” option for women doesn’t seem to be working, as tracking suggests not even the prime demographic is interested in seeing this rom com. Read on for my predictions. 在我們期盼許久之後,阿凡達終於要在本週登陸戲院,而且確定會開出驚人票房 調查顯示:這部詹姆士柯麥隆另類史詩的走勢, 不像是導演埋首多年編寫的原創故事,反而比較像觀眾期盼已久的續集電影 隨著影評壓倒性地給予正面評價,這部新片將可以吸引更多原先沒想到的觀眾群 相對之下,他的挑戰者,索尼影業出品,修葛蘭與莎拉潔西卡帕克主演 針對女性逆向操作的喜劇"名牌冤家",反而沒有什麼效果 調查顯示目標觀眾群對於本片根本不感興趣 1. Avatar: $87 million So Fox is trying to keep expectations in check with this film but I’m not buying the modest predictions. I think the incredible word-of-mouth coupled with the must-see factor will propel this movie into the upper echelons of weekend grosses. (This is not a movie you wait to see when the DVD comes out.) It also helps that Avatar will be on over 2300 locations in 3-D, including 180 IMAX theaters. That uptick in sales price is also going to buoy this film. Movie ticketing site Fandango is reporting that the movie is outselling Star Trek’s ticket sales, which is impressive considering the J.J. Abrams film (also starring Zoe Saldana) debuted back in May to $75 million. (For more on Avatar pre-sales, click here.) 1.阿凡達:8千7百萬美金 福斯公司嘗試壓低對本片的期望值,但我並不想這麼低調 因為我認為驚人的口碑加上必看因素,將會讓本片的觀影人潮比想像中更多 (畢竟這不是一部讓您寧願去租DVD的電影) 而超過2千3百家3D戲院的連映(包括180家IMAX戲院),以及高票價更是會帶動數字 根據售票網站Fandango.com的報導: 本片的預售票銷售量已經超越半年前的"星際爭霸戰"(女主角也是Zoe Saldana) 而星片後來的首映票房是7千5百萬美金 2. The Princess and the Frog: $18 million Relief is finally here for Disney’s animated romp that began its theatrical run with a rather soft opening frame last weekend. Moms — and kids — are finally free and nothing says “holiday cheer” like lots of trips to the movies. Audiences have loved Disney’s twist on the princess who kisses the frog, an A from exit pollster Cinemascore. This frame should see the 2-D animated film finally earn the cash it deserves. Expect a very small drop this weekend, which is needed because Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel, which opens Christmas Day, is nipping at its heels. 2.公主與青蛙:1千8百萬美金 觀眾們對於迪士尼這次惡搞青蛙王子可說是相當買帳 因為本片的觀眾出口民調成績是A 這部2D動畫片在本週還是能維持小跌幅,讓他賺到應得的票房收入 不過也需要如此,因為到了聖誕節,鼠來寶的花栗鼠們就要大軍壓陣了 3. The Blind Side: $10 million This movie can do no wrong. In its fourth week, the film dropped a scant 25%, putting its total gross at $150 million. I don’t think it will hold on that strong again this frame but I do expect not much more than a 30% fall. 3.攻其不備:1千萬美金 本片可說是"一路走來,始終穩健" 在第四週,它只下跌了25%,目讓他已經有超越1.5億的累積票房 我當然不認為攻片在本週仍然能複製相同的成績 但是他應該還是可以將跌幅控制到不會超過3成太多 4. Did You Hear About the Morgans?: $8 million What happened to Hugh Grant? The guy who used to be able to do no wrong hasn’t had a real hit since 2002 when he scored twice with About a Boy and Two Weeks Notice. Since then audiences seemed to have tire of his movie choices —and Morgans doesn’t look like it will be the big hit to resurrect his career. A lot of critics haven’t screened Morgans yet (never a good sign) and those who have seen it aren’t raving. It would be a huge surprise if it reached $10 million. 4.名牌冤家:8百萬美金 休葛蘭到底是出了什麼事情? 這位仁兄自從七年前推出"非關男孩"與"貼身情人"之後,就沒有真正大賣的電影了 觀眾似乎對他相同類型的選片感到厭倦了 而"名"片看樣子也無法用好票房來挽救他的演藝事業 大部分影評都還沒有看過本片(絕對不是好預兆),即使看過的也沒有給予好評價 所以假如本片能賣破1千萬,這將會是個大意外 5. Invictus: $5 million Solid reviews and a bit more moviegoing time should help Clint Eastwood’s latest film gain some traction its second weekend in theaters. Matt Damon and Morgan Freeman have both received high marks. Perhaps the film will drop somewhere in the 40% range. 5.打不倒的勇者:5百萬美金 穩固的影評加上觀眾有更多觀影時間 可望讓克林伊斯威特的新片,在第2周獲得更多觀眾的注意 加上麥特戴蒙與摩根費利曼的演出都獲得了高度的評價 本片或許可以將跌幅控制在4成以內 In limited release The Weinstein Co. opens the Daniel Day-Lewis starring musical Nine, Fox Searchlight opens the Jeff Bridges-starrer Crazy Heart, and Emily Blunt’s turn as Queen Victoria in Young Victoria will bow in 44 theaters. 本週小規模上映的電影包括 1.溫斯坦公司出品,丹尼爾戴路易士主演的歌舞片華麗年代 2.福斯探照燈出品,傑夫布里吉主演的Crazy Heart 3.英國年輕演員艾蜜莉布朗特主演的維多利亞女王 -- / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ 口 口 口 口 口 口 口 口 口 Ｖ　　 ＡＩＧ 　SAMSUN SAMSUN BWin BWin Cals 英囧 囧尼 囧泰瑞 LP囧 囧納多 羅納丁囧 囧拉德 亨囧 囧洛斯 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 59.115.135.198 ※ 編輯: sampsonlu919 來自: 59.115.135.198 (12/18 21:43)