China Would Outlast U.S. in Trade War, Billion-Dollar Fund Says

  • Trade war a ‘distinct possibility’ in 2017, James Wang writes
  • China better placed to use state resources to aid exporters
Photographer: Kevin Frayer/Getty Images
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China would outlast the U.S. in a trade war, which is a “distinct possibility” next year after President-elect Donald Trump takes office, a commentator wrote in the $1 billion Pine River China Fund’s investor letter.

China’s government would be better placed than the U.S. to marshal state resources to cushion the impact on exporters, wrote James Wang, a City University of Hong Kong professor who pens a monthly commentary for the fund. Privately-owned Chinese exporters would be worse hit than state-controlled peers because they have less political clout in Beijing, he said.