Fact or Myth? Record Number of Humans are Sick or Dying in the Post-Vaccine Era
A Scientist's Objective Analysis of Data
Tragically, two of our close acquaintances, both vaccinated and boosted, recently died suddenly and unexpectedly after developing pulmonary and heart complications. There is a lot of talk on twitter now about “Sudden Death” syndrome. In recent weeks after Elon Musk took over Twitter and reinstated some censored/suspended vaccine critics (including several distinguished doctors and scientists), hashtags like #DiedSuddenlyVaccine or #VaccineDeaths or #DiedSuddenly or #ExcessDeaths or #PfizerLiedPeopleDied have been trending on twitter, linking the large increase in the number of “Excess Death” (Total number of people dying of all causes above and beyond a historic seasonally-adjusted baseline in normal times and pre-pandemic years) to the risks associated with the new COVID-19 vaccines, particularly the mRNA type. But are we really seeing an unprecedented spike in All-cause Excess Mortality and if so, can we blame the vaccines for it? As always, I have tried to find out facts by conducting my own research instead of jumping on political or ideological bandwagons. Here is a summary of what I have found:
The Spike in Excess Death Across the World is Real
This is no longer a conspiracy theory by anti-vaccine activists. Mainstream publications and news outlets such as BBC, MSN, CNN, Telegraph and The Guardian, which promoted vaccines (and benefited from large advertising budgets of vaccine manufacturers) are all sounding alarms about unprecedented and surprising spikes in excess death. CNN admits life expectancy has been cut by nearly 2.5 years since 2020 and most of it has happened in 2021 and 2022 (in the post-vaccine period, although CNN blamed COVID-19 for the excess death, even in the post-vaccine era).
Telegraph: “Deaths in England and Wales 30 per cent higher than expected in first week of 2023.” To put this in perspective for you, this is higher than my estimate of % Excess Death in Ukraine (Some 8000-10,000 civilians plus 100,000-200,000 military) caused by their war with Russia. There must be some ominous events or factors claiming more lives than a bloody war.
BBC: “Excess deaths in 2022 among worst in 50 years!” Although the article denies vaccines are the cause, it admits that COVID can no longer be blamed as the main driver of excess deaths.
The Guardian: “Britain’s excess death rate is at a disastrous high. In the last two weeks of 2022, deaths were 20% higher than the average from 2016 to 2019 (the last pre-pandemic year), and that’s taking into account factors such as a bigger, ageing population.”
EuroMOMO, the database tracking excess death in Europe: Europe reported 35% excess deaths in the last week for which full data was available. The excess death numbers are particularly alarming for the 44-and-younger as can be seen in the charts below. In this age group, new peaks are seen which are higher than the peaks during the pandemic (pre-vaccinated). Even in other age groups, the z-scores (a statistical measure of the number of standard deviations away from mean normal seasonal values) are higher than pre-vaccine peaks experienced in December 2020. For example, in the 75-84 year age group, Z-scores in December 2022 (post vaccinated) were around 25, almost identical to the value in December 2020 (pre-vaccinated).
A z-value of 25 is statistically an extremely high number, indicating a non-random ominous event is imposing death on European countries, yet most governments are silent about this ominous trends or its cause. Vaccine critics believe if COVID or other infectious diseases are to blame, these numbers show, optimistically that the vaccines only offered short-term protection against death (peaks in the early post-vaccine era in December 2021 are slightly lower in some age groups), and pessimistically that vaccines had no long-term beneficial event in protecting against death. Interestingly, some vaccine advocates agree with vaccine critics that primary and early booster vaccines offered short-term protection against Delta and early variants, but new boosters and even annual COVID shots are needed to boost our immune system every year against the new variants. As a scientist familiar with principles of immunology (as seen in my previous blogs and articles), I believe annual booster shots against infectious diseases are costly and only offer marginal short-term protection to some immune compromised people but could in fact lead to a maladaptive collective immune response by the human colony to the new variants of pathogens. In other words, frequent booster shots would prevent against the so-called herd (collective) immunity.
National Records of Scotland: More people died in Scotland in the second week of January than in the last 1000+ weeks - including the deadliest Covid periods of 2020 and 2021.
The Wall Street Journal, which once pushed for COVID vaccines, is now calling campaigns for Booster vaccines Deceptive: “Studies show they fail to live up to their promise, but vaccine makers and experts keep pushing them.”
The Sunday Morning Herald: More than 10,200 Australians died of ischemic heart disease in the first eight months of 2022 – that is about 17 per cent higher than would be expected in a normal year. Another source confirms that total excess mortality for the first seven months of 2022 was 14% (+13,700 extra deaths).
The US Mortality Database: Excess deaths in 2022 were still non-zero with about 264000 excess deaths (8.9% above pre-pandemic levels) but less than the Excess Death in 2021 (Post-vaccinationyear with 520,000 or 17.7% excess mortality) and 2020 (pre-vaccination pandemic year, with 443000 excess deaths or 15.2% excess mortality).
What’s Causing the Excess Death?
Many pro-vaccine publications and news outlets attribute the excess death to the return of new COVID variants and people’s resistance to receiving new booster shots. Others blame other factors. For example, The Guardian blames the spike in excess deaths on NHS (The National Health Service is the publicly funded healthcare system in England) budget cuts, the neglect of social care, inequality, the soaring cost of living and factors such as slowing average ambulance response times in England.
While these may be factors contributing to the rise in excess death across the vaccinated world, there are many reasons to believe vaccines are at least partly responsible for the sharp increase in the number of deaths, particularly “sudden” deaths like those reported for many athletes and celebrities.
Anecdotal and Epidemiological Evidence of Spikes in Post-Vaccine Deaths and Injuries
There is a historic record number (more than 1.5 million) of severe reactions1, deaths and injuries associated with the COVID-19 vaccines according to VAERS (The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System) and monitoring websites like OPENVAERS. These reports are voluntary (not required from doctors and hospitals) and not exhaustive so the real numbers are expected to be much higher.
Even Elon Musk says he was among those seriously injured after his booster shot (although he probably did not have the time to fill out the voluntary report forms on VAERS so cases like his are mainly anecdotal and not reflected in official databases like VAERS):
There are numerous other anecdotal and medical reports by lay people as well as journalists, doctors and cardiologists, linking heart attacks and myocarditis to the vaccines, particularly in younger people, such as:
17 y/o with a cardiac scar (not subtle) 1 year after Pfizer mrna vaccine myocarditis Stress test with 3 beats of VT at peak exercise Does this give any cardiologists a warm/fuzzy feeling? H/t @andrewbostom journals.lww.com/pidj/fulltext/…or
@SharylAttkisson My mom didn't have a shot or vaccine since the 50s. She got the #pfizer shot in May 2021. She was in the hospital 2 weeks later and never came home. She had permanent blood clots & respiratory issues. She died at the end of July 2021. I know from experience this shot murders.A tweet in response to:
"Never even had a cold before." Forced to get boosted to keep his job. Now in hospital 2 wks later with stroke/aneurysm. It was not #Pfizer; one of the others. #Coincidence #CovidVaccine #VAERS #VaccineInjury #VaccineMandates Please get well!Even cardiologists such as the world-renowned British cardiologist Dr. Malhotra, who once advocated for the vaccines, are asking for an immediate pause to all COVID vaccinations after they see the widespread death and injury post-vaccines, including in their own immediate families:
Epidemiological and Research Studies like that by Dr. Pantazatos of Columbia University have confirmed “Vaccination correlated negatively with mortality 6-20 weeks post-injection, while vaccination predicted all-cause mortality 0-5 weeks post-injection in almost all age groups and with an age-related temporal pattern consistent with the US vaccine rollout…146K to 187K vaccine-associated US deaths between February and August, 2021.”
Another research paper finds that a markedly higher risk for myocarditis subsequent to COVID-19 injectable product use (vaccines) than for other known vaccines, and this is well above known background rates for myocarditis. Other epidemiological studies have pointed out to incidence rates of vaccine-associated myocarditis (VAM) to be as high as 372 cases per million 1 among males 12-17 years-old, which is 2-3 orders of magnitude (100-1000 times) higher than background incidence rates among healthy unvaccinated adolescents and even higher than incidence rates of COVID-induced myocarditis. Several autopsies have investigated deaths following vaccine-associated myocarditis and a few have found “causal” association. There is a difference of opinion, however, on the specific mechanism of death after VAM.
Other analysis of CDC data shows large spikes in deaths in the post-vaccination era caused by blood clotting disorders:
Full breakout of Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality per CDC-Wonder (applied to MMWR Wk 2 2023) - post-Vax inflection (wk 14 2021): E-NCNCM = 540 K or 18.9% Excess Blood Clotting Disorders = 56% Top risers: 1. Heart/Circulatory 2. Blood/Blood-Forming 3. CancerIn a study by Professor Mark Skidmore of Michigan State University, the proportion of fatal events from COVID-19 vaccinations was estimated as high as 278,000 and compared with the data in the VAERS database.
Other Epidemiological blogs such as “10 Epidemiological Charts for Historic Diseases and their Vaccines” show historic proofs of death or injury spikes after each new vaccination roll out.
Also, a German Government working paper has noted the correlation between the drop in fertility and birth rate in both Sweden and Germany and the COVID-19 vaccine rollout. However, the paper blamed behaviour change and drew no link with the exposure of women of childbearing age to novel mRNA vaccines. The German government has also confirmed vaccine to be a cause of death in some people:
For anyone "not trusting a 'random' substack" you may check for yourself that the German government has confirmed 254 COVID-19 vaxx deaths officially via their ICD-10 code cause of death publications.@ElephantCage2 @JaquesRigaut @MeredithStark @Humanstein You may go to the official German government website of the statistical bureau, and check for yourself. You need to download the linked xlsx, then in sheet "tudeu2021" look for "T881", that stands for the respective ICD10 code. https://t.co/uiyA7LmDbyBen @USMortalityOther post-vaccine injuries are reported. A study of sperm donors in Israel showed that the number and motility of sperm were significantly reduced five months after receiving Pfizer’s mRNA vaccine.
Another recent paper by Nobel Laureate Doctor Luc Montagnier and his team, presents 26 cases of a totally new form of rapidly developing Creuzfeldt-Jacob Disease (a prion disease and the human version of the mad-cow disease), all diagnosed in 2021 with the first symptoms appearing within an average of 11.38 days after a Pfizer, Moderna,or AstraZeneca COVID-19 injection. Because the causal progression and the etiopathogenesis of these atypical and new cases, the authors conclude that the COVID vaccine injections caused the disease in these 26 cases and probably also caused a many other cases that have gone undiagnosed because of their rapid progression to death. The authors identify regions within the coding sequence for the mRNA portion of the vaccine injections that increase the risk of protein misfolding, creating toxic oligomers as the basis of prion disease.
Alex Antic, Australian Liberal Senator has shared data that confirm cardiac-related hospitalizations in South Australian public hospitals DOUBLED in the 15-44 year-old age group during the vaccine roll out (but not during the pandemic):
Even FDA is acknowledging some risk but blaming it on double shots: “Getting Pfizer's Covid booster and flu vaccine on the same day may raise the risk of a stroke.” But for now health officials are still recommending people get both shots at once!
In a video posted by Dr. Craig Wax on Rumble, Dr. Robert Robert Malone who was vaccinated himself and has an early patent on an mRNA enabling technology, discusses the risks associated with the new vaccines.
An Objective Analysis
It is hard to breakdown all the causes of excess mortality in the world. The problem is government agencies lump death statistics or play with the definition of vaccinated,fully vaccinated or unvaccinated. For example, the UK reports the effect of vaccines on reducing risk of death in a metric called “person-years,” which exaggerates death of unvaccinated old folks and underrepresents death of vaccinated young folks (of myocarditis, etc.). I researched data by UK’s Office for National Statistics, National Immunisation Management Service to find the raw numbers for all-cause mortality. For the period of February 2021 to May of 2022, there were some 520,000 vaccinated deaths as compared to only 57,000 unvaccinated deaths. In May 2022, 29500 vaccinated and only about 1000 unvaccinated people died of all-causes. If we divide these numbers by the total sample number in each group (90% of UK are vaccinated by at least 1 dose), the vaccinated were dying at a rate three times higher than unvaccinated of all causes. But at least part of this effect may be due to the fact that most of the unvaccinated may be younger, of better health or living in remote, less populated (less viral load) areas of the country.
Mass media (large establishment) journalists like the one below, mock vaccine critics and call their claims “horse**it!”
But independent Journalist researchers (many with liberal credentials) have raised serious questions about the usefulness of the vaccines:
But besides independent journalists, the army of vaccine critics now includes thousands of doctors and scientists who are not trusting the official numbers released by the government. Doctors Vinay Prasad and John Mandrola are two such experts (one a cardiologist and one a hematologist and epidemiologist). The following excerpt from a balanced review article by them is aligned with some of my findings:
Cards on the table: We think the vaccines are an important tool for preventing severe illness and death among vulnerable people—particularly the elderly and those with certain underlying medical conditions. But we have been concerned that our federal officials recklessly continue to push for multiple Covid shots for everyone five years old and up, despite the growing evidence that these vaccines may not be appropriate for all. We are also concerned about the way side effects of the vaccine, particularly among young men, have been downplayed.
For these reasons and more, we believe in being transparent and honest with a public that has lost trust in our essential public health institutions…
The risk of developing myocarditis rises after the second dose of vaccine, and Moderna is implicated more often than Pfizer. As a result, some European and Scandinavian countries have limited the use of Moderna in people under age 30.
This winter, the Danish Health Authority recommended boosters only for people over age 50—and those under 50 who have specific medical conditions. People under 18 are not offered Covid-19 vaccines (with limited exceptions) because, the authority says, “Children and adolescents rarely become severely ill from the Omicron variant of covid-19.” The UK government also limited their 2022 autumn booster to adults over 50.
By now we were supposed to have a better idea of how often heart inflammation affects people aged 16 through 30 who get the Pfizer vaccine. The FDA authorized Pfizer to conduct a study on this population to look for subclinical myocarditis. It was scheduled for availability at the end of last year, but to date, no news on this pressing issue has been forthcoming. The failure to report this data is notable in light of a recently published study from Thailand, which reported one case of myocarditis and seven cases of cardiac enzyme elevations in 300 adolescents who received two mRNA vaccinations.
Two additional studies published in the past few months have raised concerns about the connection between the mRNA vaccines and myocarditis. A group at Harvard examined blood from children hospitalized for myocarditis after a Covid-19 vaccination and compared it to blood from healthy children without myocarditis who also had the vaccination. Their main finding was striking and unexpected: The children with myocarditis had dramatic elevations in the circulating Covid-19 spike protein generated by the vaccine. This suggests that prolonged exposure to the spike protein may be a causal factor in vaccine-caused myocarditis.
The second study, from Germany, reported autopsy findings from 25 people who died unexpectedly within 20 days of receiving a Covid-19 vaccination. In four, acute myocarditis appeared to be the cause of death. Notably, the four affected persons were older adults. These results are not definitive, but the authors called for more detailed studies exploring the possibility of fatal adverse events from the vaccine.
Aside from myocarditis, two recent potential safety signals have also emerged. One is that the original Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may result in a risk of blood clots in the lungs. The other is that the newly released Pfizer bivalent booster—a shot that adds protection against the Omicron strain of the virus—may be associated with an increased risk of strokes in people over 65.
We hope these signals turn out to be nothing. But it is incumbent upon our public health officials to do something different from their recent pattern—that is, they should look into this evidence thoroughly, then report their comprehensive findings to the public, making all their data available so independent scientists can analyze it for themselves….
But making the connection between the vaccine, a case of heart inflammation, and a cardiac arrest is quite difficult.
We believe the feverish speculation that Covid-19 vaccines have led to increased sudden deaths is largely due to a trust problem with our public health leaders. And Americans have good reasons for their skepticism.
For example, when the evidence emerged that myocarditis in young males was linked to the mRNA vaccines, the Biden administration denied it: We have not seen a signal and we’ve actually looked intentionally for the signal in the over 200 million doses we’ve given,” Rochelle Walensky, CDC director, said last April. This was despite the fact that it had been reported by researchers in Israel two months earlier.
When further studies confirmed a link to heart inflammation in younger males, instead of acknowledging that the evidence was concerning and requiring changes to vaccination recommendations to protect this group, officials pivoted. They asserted that vaccine-related myocarditis was not a big concern. Walensky described the myocarditis findings as “these mild, self-limited cases.” They also pushed the line that infection with Covid-19 itself—as is true of many viruses—can cause myocarditis, and that this was a far bigger danger.
We dispute both claims. The majority of young people with vaccine-related myocarditis are hospitalized, and then given long lists of activities to avoid. That is serious. And the evidence for the assertion that a Covid-19 infection is a big heart risk for young people is unconvincing.
Another front on which the government has not been forthcoming is the question of whether or not the vaccines actually prevent the spread of the disease. Last January, Walensky finally acknowledged what millions of people who had gotten the shots, then came down with Covid-19, could have told her—that the vaccines do not prevent people from getting or spreading the illness. Walensky herself contracted the virus for a second time last October, a month after she was boosted with the new bivalent vaccine she wants everyone to take….
Apart from all epidemiological concerns, there are concerns about the risks associated with the new mRNA technology. I summarized some of my concerns in an article I published in January 2021 titled “A Modern Immunological View of Viral Disease Calls for Caution on mRNA Vaccines.” The article is now receiving a delayed recognition by journalists, virologists and activists on twitter.
My own mother suffered a serious adverse reaction, possibly a mild form of Lymphadenopathy, after her second shot.
Glad to see two favorites in your story. @EthicalSkeptic @VinayPrasadMDMPH. TES has some compelling estimates that go along with your Ukraine War figures. It also meshes with 20th century deaths by government far exceeding war deaths and phenomenons like Lysenkoism.