#Ukrainian officials assess that #Russian forces are preparing to launch a large-scale decisive offensive in eastern Ukraine in mid to late February.
isw.pub/UkrWar020623
isw.pub/UkrWar020623
2/ Key takeaways for February 6, 2023:
Select Russian nationalist voices continued to express skepticism towards #Russia’s ability to launch a successful offensive in #Ukraine past late February. isw.pub/UkrWar020623
Select Russian nationalist voices continued to express skepticism towards #Russia’s ability to launch a successful offensive in #Ukraine past late February. isw.pub/UkrWar020623
3/ German Chancellor Olaf Scholz undermined Russian President Vladimir #Putin’s false narrative that the provision of German tanks to #Ukraine threatens Russian security.
4/ Kremlin-appointed Russian and occupation officials continue to implement social benefit schemes that target children and teenagers in occupied areas of #Ukraine to consolidate social control and integration of these territories into #Russia.
5/ Kremlin-appointed Russian and occupation officials continue to implement social benefit schemes that target children and teenagers in occupied areas of Ukraine to consolidate social control and integration of these territories into Russia. isw.pub/UkrWar020623
6/ Russian Commissioner on Children’s Rights, Maria Lvova-Belova (appointed by #Putin) is likely working directly on Putin’s orders to institute several social institutions and programs in occupied areas of #Ukraine to collect personal data on children...
7/ ...carry out various social programming functions aimed at integrating occupied areas using pseudo-humanitarian organizations, and set conditions to legitimize and institutionalize the deportation and adoption of Ukrainian children into Russian families.
8/ Russian President Vladimir #Putin continues to open the door for further institutionalized corruption in Russia through legislative manipulations. isw.pub/UkrWar020623
9/ The Kremlin continues to deny Wagner financier Yevgeny Prigozhin legitimacy and authority in #Russia. Prigozhin’s appeal in the Russian nationalist information space may also be declining as he continues to overcompensate for the culmination of Wagner’s attack around Bakhmut.
10/ Failures of Western sanctions efforts against the provision of arms components to Iran have likely contributed to #Russia’s ability to bypass Western sanctions to acquire components for combat drones through military cooperation with #Iran. isw.pub/UkrWar020623
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