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Energy Policy
Volume 36, Issue 9, September 2008, Pages 3572-3577
 
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doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2008.06.009    
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Copyright © 2008 Elsevier Ltd All rights reserved.

The contribution of Chinese exports to climate change

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Christopher L. Webera, Corresponding Author Contact Information, E-mail The Corresponding Author, Glen P. Petersb, 1, Dabo Guanc and Klaus Hubacekd

aCivil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA

bIndustrial Ecology Programme, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 7491 Trondheim, Norway

cJudge Business School, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1AG, UK

dSustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK


Received 28 March 2008; 
accepted 6 June 2008. 
Available online 21 July 2008.

Abstract

Within 5 years, China's CO2 emissions have nearly doubled, and China may already be the world's largest emitter of CO2. Evidence suggests that exports could be a main cause for the rise in Chinese CO2 emissions; however, no systematic study has analyzed this issue, especially over time. We find that in 2005, around one-third of Chinese emissions (1700 Mt CO2) were due to production of exports, and this proportion has risen from 12% (230 Mt) in 1987 and only 21% (760 Mt) as recently as 2002. It is likely that consumption in the developed world is driving this trend. A majority of these emissions have largely escaped the scrutiny of arguments over “carbon leakage” due to the current, narrow definition of leakage. Climate policies which would make the developed world responsible for China's export emissions have both benefits and costs, and must be carefully designed to achieve political consensus and equity. Whoever is responsible for these emissions, China's rapidly expanding infrastructure and inefficient coal-powered electricity system need urgent attention.

Keywords: China; Exports; Climate change

Article Outline

1. Introduction
2. Methods and data
2.1. Environmental input–output analysis (EIOA)
2.2. Normalization
2.3. Approximation of regional responsibility
2.4. Data sources
2.4.1. Input–output tables
2.4.2. Energy and emissions data
3. Results
4. Uncertainties
5. Discussion: who is responsible for China's emissions?
References




Corresponding Author Contact InformationCorresponding author. Tel.: +1 412 726 6650.
1 Present address: Center for International Climate and Environmental Research—Oslo (CICERO), P.O. Box 1129, Blindern, N-0318 Oslo, Norway.

Energy Policy
Volume 36, Issue 9, September 2008, Pages 3572-3577
 
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